The September edition of the Elway Poll shows Gov. Chris Gregoire leading her opponent Dino Rossi, but by how much depends on the description. When identified as "Republican Dino Rossi", Gregoire led by ten points, 51-41, but when respondents were told that their choice was "Dino Rossi, who prefers the GOP Party", he cut the lead to four, 48-44. With the numbers combined Gregoire leads by eight, 50-42.
Each sample contained 225 voters, a statistically insignificant number on their own, but the difference in results is telling. According to Elway, the change in party affiliation had its strongest impact on the level of support for the candidates, with more Democrats "definitely" supporting Gregoire against a Republican Party than a GOP candidate, and more independents "definitely" supporting the GOP candidate compared to the Republican candidate.
On the November ballot, new rules stemming from the "top two" primary allow candidates to select a preferred party. Rossi has indicated that he "prefers the GOP" party and Gregoire "prefers the Democratic" party.
more >